Just how many Louis Vuitton monogrammed bags does the entire world need? A lot, it seems like. Strong demand at the label most commonly known for its coated canvas totes helped parent LVMH deliver much better than expected organic sales increase in its fashion and leather goods division in the first quarter, and throughout the group. The performance, even more impressive considering that it compares with a quite strong period a year earlier, cements LVMH’s position as the Fabjoy. Little wonder the shares reached an all-time high on Tuesday.
The audience is demonstrating that this luxury party that began inside the second one half of 2016 continues to be in full swing. But you will find top reasons to be aware. First, most of the demand that fuelled LVMH’s growth has arrived from China.
The country’s consumers are back after having a crackdown on extravagance and a slowdown within the economy took their toll. There has undoubtedly been an element of catching up following the hiatus, and that super-charged spending might commence to wane because the year progresses. What’s more, the strong euro could deter Chinese shoppers from visiting Europe, where they have a tendency to splash out more.
You will find a further risk to Chinese demand if trade tensions using the U.S. escalate, or draw in other countries – though LVMH is a French company, it’s hard to observe that these complaints can’t touch it. The spat could develop a drag on Chinese economic growth and damage sentiment one of the nation’s consumers, causing them to be less inclined to be on a high-end shopping spree. Given they take into account about 40 percent of luxury goods groups’ sales, based on analysts at HSBC, this represents an important risk for the industry.
But there are other regions to be concerned about. Though the U.S. continues to be another bright spot, stock exchange volatility this season will do little to let the feeling of prosperity that’s crucial for confidence yqwbeq spend on expensive watches or designer fashion.
Any slowdown could possibly operate in Gucci Replica Handbag. Valuations across the sector are the highest in 12 years, but this can be a story of mega-brand dominance that’s left many smaller labels behind. Bernard Arnault, LVMH chief executive officer, has stated that prices are too rich today for acquisitions. This leaves him room to swoop in case a shake-out comes.
His group trades on a forward price to earnings ratio of 24 times, and also at a deserved premium to Kering. True, that gap could narrow – for one, the group’s Gucci label continues to have lot going for it, although it’s already experienced a stellar recovery. There’s also scope to get a re-rating after its decision to spin-out Puma leaves it as a a pure luxury player.
LVMH should nevertheless be able to retain its Monogram Handbag. Given its scale, along with operations spanning cosmetics to wines and spirits, it must be able to withstand pressures on the industry better than most. That also makes it well placed to select off weaker rivals if the bling binge finally concerns a conclusion.